General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Economics

General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Thu Mar 27, 2008 4:04 pm

This thread I want to keep some articles on just general trends in the economy or deeper factors (structural changes) that are affecting the market.
Fed takes new steps to add cash to banking system
The Federal Reserve on Friday announced two new steps to add cash to the banking system. The Fed said the measures were needed to address "heightened liquidity pressures in term funding markets." The Fed said it was in close contact with foreign central banks concerning liquidity conditions in markets. In the first measure, the Fed said it would increase the size of the two Term Auction Facility auctions to $50 billion each or a total of $100 billion. This is a total increase of $40 billion. Secondly, the Fed said it will initiate a series of term repurchase transactions that are expected to cumulate to $100 billion. These transactions will be conducted as 28-day term repos in which primary dealers may elect to deliver as collateral agency mortgage backed securities if they so choose. The Fed said it would consider increasing both the repos and the TAF if conditions warrant


Discount window borrowing rises to $37 billion on Wednesday
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Postby RDR on Mon Mar 31, 2008 2:55 pm

Household net worth falls 3.6% in 4th quarter
The net worth of U.S. households fell by $533 billion, or a 3.6% annual rate, in the fourth quarter of 2007, the first time total wealth had fallen since late 2002, the Federal Reserve reported Thursday. For all of 2007, household net worth rose 3.4% to $57.7 trillion, the slowest growth in five years. After the effects of inflation are included, real net worth fell for the year. Household borrowing rose at a 5.6% annual rate, less than half the debt growth seen during the credit boom years in 2003 through 2005.
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Postby RDR on Sun Apr 06, 2008 9:51 pm

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Postby RDR on Tue Apr 08, 2008 2:25 pm

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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Wed Aug 20, 2008 11:19 am

Economic View How Fuel Subsidies Drag Down a Nation

Why It's Wrong to Hold Too Much of One Stock

Government takes over control of Freddie, Fannie
The U.S. Treasury Dept. said Sunday it is placing troubled mortgage giants Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae under conservatorship by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Under the plan, the FHFA will assume the power of the board, and the two firms' cheif executives will resign after a transitional period. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said: "Based on what we have learned about these institutions over the last four weeks ... and given the condition of financial markets today, I concluded that it would not have been in the best interest of the taxpayers for Treasury to simply make an equity investment" rather than take over the firms outright.


http://www.u.arizona.edu/~lkenwor/doame ... uality.pdf

Self-reliance Real estate opportunities beckon some to use retirement funds to invest

Monday, September 15, 2008 Fuel inputs in the food system could be reduced by 50%

What Does Warren Buffett Think About the Market?

Wishful Thinking| Arnold Kling

Paulson bailout

The Treasury's draft plan for saving the world is breathtakingly awful.

White House Dispatches Team to Push Economic Bill
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Mon Sep 29, 2008 2:01 pm

Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008

The Bailout: Myths, Half-Truths, and Inconsistencies

Senate approves $700 billion financial rescue plan Revised bill includes increased bank insurance, tax breaks
http://banking.senate.gov/public/_files ... ctionF.pdf

Consumer credit has record drop in August
U.S. consumers reduced their debt load by a record amount in August, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. Total seasonally adjusted consumer debt dropped by $7.9 billion, or a 3.7% annual rate, in August to $2.58 trillion. This was the first decline since January 1998. Consumer credit rose 2.4% in July. Non-revolving credit - such as auto loans, personal loans and student loans - dropped sharply by $7.3 billion, or 5.4%, to $1.61 trillion, after rising 0.9% in July. Credit-card debt dropped by $612 million, or 0.8%, in August to $969 billion.


http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={393BF853-0DE4-47FE-A510-EC4C9787DEE9}&siteid=nbkh
Investment Newsletter Insights Desperately seeking capitulation

Search for tomorrow As résumés fly off Wall Street, keep yours up to date too

Degree of difficulty M.B.A. grads face daunting job market

One in Five Baby Boomers Cuts Retirement Saving
Image

Money for Main Street There's plenty of perks for taxpayers, savers in final rescue plan

PAUL B. FARRELL 'Paulson's new 'Global Banking Corp.' IPO 2009 Forget Washington, forget Goldman: Our hero has global ambitions
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Tue Oct 14, 2008 10:41 am

Treasury to take $250 bln equity stakes in banks: WSJ
The U.S. government is expected to introduce a wide-ranging plan Tuesday to restore confidence to the battered banking system that will likely supersede many of its previous measures, The Wall Street Journal reported in its online edition Monday. The centerpiece of its latest effort is a plan for the Treasury to take about $250 billion in equity stakes in potentially thousands of banks by mobilizing funds from the $700-billion bailout package, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is also expected to temporarily extend its backstop to new senior preferred debt issued by banks and thrifts for three years and temporarily lift the insurance limits for non-interest bearing bank deposit accounts, according to the newspaper.


http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={B2ED97C9-D661-4CD7-A310-271F609C5582}&siteid=nbsh
THERESE POLETTI'S TECH TALES Only the fittest will survive this downturn Commentary: Good riddance to bad rubbish among Web 2.0 startups

U.S.News & World Report How to Tell if You're Rich

Mapping the future of health-care delivery

Perks and pork ride the rescue plan What the bailout plan's extras might mean for you
Basis reporting for capital gains. Starting in 2011 for stocks and 2013 for options, brokers will be required to report cost basis for investments sold each year. For those of you who like to "tax plan" your asset sales, you should still be able to assign basis as you see fit to different shares sold in different years. You'll want to watch this one.


PAUL B. FARRELL Wall Street's 'Disaster Capitalism for Dummies' 14 reasons Main Street loses big while Wall Street sabotages democracy

Home prices fall record 16.6% in past year Case-Shiller index shows lower prices in 16 of 20 cities in August

King Henry Paulson says: 'Buy banks!' But gurus say no: Cool Andy, Mad Jimmy, Genius John, Nervy Naomi

Difficult Facts About Housing Arnold Kling

Follow the animated adventures of Sonny, exactly the sort of youth who is set to get screwed by a system designed during The Great Depression, when workers were plenty and retirees rare.

[url=http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={EED1A658-2215-4E28-8E25-B27FFDAB7EA1}&siteid=nbsh]The 'greed is good' mantra needs amending Contrasting the Internet and housing bubbles makes the point[/url]

I Vote No Confidence in Congress If we raise trade barriers, subsidize Detroit and enable union bullying, we're in for a long recession.
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Wed Nov 12, 2008 1:40 pm

Paulson changes tack on financial rescue Consumer-finance sector will get help, but mortgage asset plan's shelved

Paulson, Bernanke defend financial market rescue efforts
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke defended on Tuesday their stewardship of the $700 billion financial market rescue plan. In prepared remarks to the House Financial Services panel, Paulson said that there was "no playbook" for the Bush administration to follow and so strategy had to be adjusted. He said the financial markets would be worse off if Congress had not approved the package. Bernanke said he saw some improvements in credit markets, but said overall conditions remain "far from normal." Paulson defended his decision not to use funds from the package to aid homeowners. He said the best way to turn the housing market around was to "increase access to lower cost mortgage lending." He argued that the government takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was an important step in that direction.


[url=http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={1AC4936B-1C89-4D34-A4F7-B5EAA1E41E86}&siteid=nbsh]THERESE POLETTI'S TECH TALES Layoffs loom like dark clouds over Silicon Valley Commentary: It's probably only the beginning of an ugly downturn[/url]

Paulson not likely to tap rest of TARP money, he says
The Treasury Department isn't likely to ask for Congress for authority any time soon to use the second half of the $700 Troubled Asset Relief Program, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Monday in an interview with the Wall Street Journal. "I'm going to do what we need to do to keep the system strong but I'm not going to be looking to start up new things unless they're necessary, unless they make great sense," Paulson said. "I want to preserve the firepower, the flexibility we have now and those that come after us will have." Most of the first $350 billion has been committed to buying equity shares in large and smaller banks, and in American International Group (AIG:
American International Group, Inc AIG 1.67, -0.28, -14.4%) . Decisions about the second tranche will likely be made by President-elect Barack Obama's administration.


Buffett says automakers need bailout or bankruptcy
The government should insist top executives at Ford Motor Co., General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC invest a significant percentage of their own net worths in the Detroit-based companies, Buffett said, ensuring both executives and taxpayers would share in any profits or losses.

Buffett said the government should be able to drive a deal like one of the ones he makes when Berkshire buys businesses, because automakers appear on the brink of bankruptcy.

Buffett said he’d tell the auto executives, "’We’ll give you more upside (than bankruptcy), but you’re going to lose if we lose.’"
Great Idea! Why not expand this idea to all UAW workers so that we avoid the principle-client problems even more.
Ford {F} has market equity cap: $3.7 Billion {Price: $1.55}
GM {GM} has a market cap: $2 Billion {Price: $3.22}

Approximately there are about half a million UAW workers and thus each UAW worker merely has to pitch in $2,000 to buy GM and $3,700 to buy all of Ford. So why not make them invest in it also? Karl Marx would be surprised at the failure of workers to pay such a small amount to control the means of production. I am sure he is rolling over in his grave...
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Sun Dec 07, 2008 9:58 pm

How Much An Industry Gives May Affect The Chance Of Its Getting Bailed Out By Kleinheider Posted on December 5, 2008 at 6:53 pm

Ford’s Brazil plant: Successful and Non-union

Hitched to the economy Divorce rates drop as couples realize it's cheaper to stay together

Are Employers Unwilling to Hire, or Are Some Workers Unwilling to Work? By Casey B. Mulligan Casey B. Mulligan is an economist at the University of Chicago.

Economic View Bailout of Long-Term Capital: A Bad Precedent?

[url=http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={9B8E3A4C-D5EB-425D-B938-1459A83D6506}&siteid=nbsh]Bankrate Poll: 40% of Americans Say They Are Not Concerned About Going Without Credit Cards[/url]

'Temporary' stimulus plan creates lasting trouble for economy

Peter Schiff: Why I'm Right and My Critics Are All Wrong

The Culprit Is All of Us By SCOTT S. POWELL The government's meddling got us into this mess.

[url=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/11/opinion/11friedman.html?_r=2]The Open-Door Bailout
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN[/url]
Leave it to a brainy Indian to come up with the cheapest and surest way to stimulate our economy: immigration.

“All you need to do is grant visas to two million Indians, Chinese and Koreans,” said Shekhar Gupta, editor of The Indian Express newspaper. “We will buy up all the subprime homes. We will work 18 hours a day to pay for them. We will immediately improve your savings rate — no Indian bank today has more than 2 percent nonperforming loans because not paying your mortgage is considered shameful here. And we will start new companies to create our own jobs and jobs for more Americans.”

While his tongue was slightly in cheek, Gupta and many other Indian business people I spoke to this week were trying to make a point that sometimes non-Americans can make best: “Dear America, please remember how you got to be the wealthiest country in history. It wasn’t through protectionism, or state-owned banks or fearing free trade. No, the formula was very simple: build this really flexible, really open economy, tolerate creative destruction so dead capital is quickly redeployed to better ideas and companies, pour into it the most diverse, smart and energetic immigrants from every corner of the world and then stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat.”

While I think President Obama has been doing his best to keep the worst protectionist impulses in Congress out of his stimulus plan, the U.S. Senate unfortunately voted on Feb. 6 to restrict banks and other financial institutions that receive taxpayer bailout money from hiring high-skilled immigrants on temporary work permits known as H-1B visas.

Bad signal. In an age when attracting the first-round intellectual draft choices from around the world is the most important competitive advantage a knowledge economy can have, why would we add barriers against such brainpower — anywhere? That’s called “Old Europe.” That’s spelled: S-T-U-P-I-D.

“If you do this, it will be one of the best things for India and one of the worst for Americans, [because] Indians will be forced to innovate at home,” said Subhash B. Dhar, a member of the executive council that runs Infosys, the well-known Indian technology company that sends Indian workers to the U.S. to support a wide range of firms. “We protected our jobs for many years and look where it got us. Do you know that for an Indian company, it is still easier to do business with a company in the U.S. than it is to do business today with another Indian state?”

Each Indian state tries to protect its little economy with its own rules. America should not be trying to copy that. “Your attitude,” said Dhar, should be “ ‘whoever can make us competitive and dominant, let’s bring them in.’ ”

If there is one thing we know for absolute certain, it’s this: Protectionism did not cause the Great Depression, but it sure helped to make it “Great.” From 1929 to 1934, world trade plunged by more than 60 percent — and we were all worse off.

We live in a technological age where every study shows that the more knowledge you have as a worker and the more knowledge workers you have as an economy, the faster your incomes will rise. Therefore, the centerpiece of our stimulus, the core driving principle, should be to stimulate everything that makes us smarter and attracts more smart people to our shores. That is the best way to create good jobs.

According to research by Vivek Wadhwa, a senior research associate at the Labor and Worklife Program at Harvard Law School, more than half of Silicon Valley start-ups were founded by immigrants over the last decade. These immigrant-founded tech companies employed 450,000 workers and had sales of $52 billion in 2005, said Wadhwa in an essay published this week on BusinessWeek.com.

He also cited a recent study by William R. Kerr of Harvard Business School and William F. Lincoln of the University of Michigan that “found that in periods when H-1B visa numbers went down, so did patent applications filed by immigrants [in the U.S.]. And when H-1B visa numbers went up, patent applications followed suit.”

We don’t want to come out of this crisis with just inflation, a mountain of debt and more shovel-ready jobs. We want to — we have to — come out of it with a new Intel, Google, Microsoft and Apple. I would have loved to have seen the stimulus package include a government-funded venture capital bank to help finance all the start-ups that are clearly not starting up today — in the clean-energy space they’re dying like flies — because of a lack of liquidity from traditional lending sources.

Newsweek had an essay this week that began: “Could Silicon Valley become another Detroit?” Well, yes, it could. When the best brains in the world are on sale, you don’t shut them out. You open your doors wider. We need to attack this financial crisis with green cards not just greenbacks, and with start-ups not just bailouts. One Detroit is enough.
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Mon Apr 13, 2009 3:04 pm

We are facing "Peak Oil"!!!!
Oil Industry Braces for Drop in U.S. Thirst for Gasoline

Predicting the Present with Google Trends Thursday, April 02, 2009 at 4/02/2009 02:10:00 PM

Federal Reserve mulls holding regular press conferences: WSJ
U.S. Federal Reserve officials are contemplating whether to hold periodic press conferences, much as the European Central Bank already does, The Wall Street Journal reported late Tuesday, citing people familiar with deliberations. Fed officials haven't made a decision on whether to initiate press conferences, with one concern being that, on some occasions, such events could confuse markets and the public rather than provide more clarity, the report said.


Keeping consumers safe from financial products As some call for a financial products safety commission, industry balks

Insurers Offer Rewards for Going Green

US investors get to nominate boards By Deborah Brewster in New York Published: May 20 2009 18:34 | Last updated: May 20 2009 18:34

Recession hits men harder Men's unemployment rate outpaces women's at steepest level ever

SEC makes temporary short-selling rule permanent
The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday made permanent a rule designed to curtail abusive "naked" short selling. "The new rule, Rule 204, requires broker-dealers to promptly purchase or borrow securities to deliver on a short sale," the SEC said. A temporary rule meant to curtail the practice was set to expire on July 31. The SEC said it is also working together with several self-regulatory organizations to make short sale volume and transaction data available.

Brilliant! Simply brilliant!

92% of Americans Still Believe Buying a Home is a Good Investment --New Bankrate poll shows that though the economy remains unstable, American financial perceptions have remained static
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Sun Sep 13, 2009 3:09 pm

SEC report finds past Madoff probes incompetent
Past Securities and Exchange Commission probes of Bernard Madoff were incompetent, according to a report issued Wednesday by SEC Inspector General David Kotz. In his report, Kotz said that three agency exams and two investigations failed to uncover Madoff's multibillion-dollar Ponzi scheme despite warning signs. The report, however, found no evidence of improper ties between the SEC and Madoff's firm.


SENATOR PAUL WELLSTONE'S SPEECH BEFORE the REPEAL of the GLASS-STEAGALL ACT

China’s Dollar Problem, Kenneth Rogoff
Any real change in the near term must come from China, which increasingly has the most to lose from a dollar debacle. So far, China has looked to external markets so that exporters can achieve the economies of scale needed to improve quality and move up the value chain. But there is no reason in principle that Chinese planners cannot follow the same model in reorienting the economy to a more domestic-demand-led growth strategy.

Yes, China needs to strengthen its social safety net and to deepen domestic capital markets before consumption can take off. But, with consumption accounting for 35% of national income (compared to 70% in the US!), there is vast room to grow.

Chinese leaders clearly realize that their hoard of T-Bills is a problem. Otherwise, they would not be calling so publicly for the International Monetary Fund to advance an alternative to the dollar as a global currency.

They are right to worry. A dollar crisis is not around the corner, but it is certainly a huge risk over the next five to 10 years. China does not want to be left holding a $4 trillion bag when it happens. It is up to China to take the lead on the post-Pittsburgh agenda.


Making the grade New credit scoring model may boost some borrowers' scores

Missed a few spots Commentary: 'Sweeping' financial reforms don't clean house
And it might have been just that, had it not been for one little qualifier that was stuck into the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009: "Nothing in this section shall require a broker or dealer or registered representative to have a continuing duty of care or loyalty to the customer after providing personalized investment advice about securities."

Confused? You should be.

This means that while you work with a broker-planner who is giving you advice, the fiduciary standard applies; the moment they act like a broker, suitability is all that matters.

At the time they give you the advice, therefore, it must be in your best interest. At the time they sell you the securities, however, they no longer have to be acting in your best interest, they need only be selling something suitable.


Where were they 10 years ago? Today's movers and shakers weren't on the radar when decade began

Trillions Of Troubles Ahead Bert Dohmen, 12.18.09, 05:50 PM EST A crushing burden of debt threatens to sap America's growth for years to come.

Peering Into a 'Conventional' Crystal Ball

Fed expected to lower rates despite raging inflation - MarketWatch
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Re: General Economic News. (Trends or structural changes)

Postby RDR on Thu Jan 28, 2010 1:15 pm

Wind industry sets record for new capacity in 2009

Americans more pessimistic about economy: UMich
American consumers were more pessimitic about the path of the economy in February, according to media reports of a survey released Friday by the University of Michigan and Reuters. The UMich index fell to 73.7 in February from 74.4 in January. Consumers were more upbeat about currrent economic conditions, with the current index rising from 81.1 in January to 84.1, the highest since March 2008. However, attitudes about the near-term deteriorated, with the expectations index falling to 66.9 in February from 70.1 in January. Expectations had risen three months in a row. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting the UMich index to rise to about 76.0.


Liberaltarian Bargains, Part II «  Modeled Behavior

Planning kids' care is becoming a full-time job Diary of a Recession Baby - MarketWatch

Why the U.S. Can't Inflate Its Way Out of Debt

Going down with the ship Commentary: Investment business is losing a generation of investors

Walking Away From Million-Dollar Mortgages - NYTimes.com

Strategies - Head for the Hills? No Way, Says Jeremy J. Siegel - NYTimes.com

The Innovation Delusion By Ralph Gomory

We’re Still #1 (Unfortunately)

Peter Schiff: "We're in the Early Stages of a Depression"

The End of Unsustainable Debt | Capital Gains and Games
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